Posted Nov 2nd 2008 12:30PM by Trey Thoelcke
Filed under: Earnings reports, Ford Motor (F), Sprint Nextel Corp (S), MasterCard Inc'A' (MA), Trump Entertainment Resorts (TRMP), EOG Resources (EOG), Anadarko Petroleum (APC), Goodyear Tire and Rubber (GT)
The focus of last week's preview was on oil and energy companies, and we saw that big oil had a good week, reporting better-than-expected results and record profits driven by high prices in the third quarter. Energy-related companies are well represented again this week and expectations in general remain high.
Early in the week, analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial anticipate that the big earnings gainers will include EOG Resources Inc. (NYSE: EOG), Anadarko Petroleum Corp. (NYSE: APC), and Cimarex Energy Co. (NYSE: XEC), which are expected to post profits of $2.24 per share (up 64.7% from a year ago), $1.48 per share (up 52.7%) and $2.26 per share (up 61.1%) respectively. All three of them have offered positive surprises in recent quarters, and analysts on average recommend buying EOG and Anadarko. Other expected big earnings gainers early in the week include Forest Oil Corp. (NYSE: FST), Pioneer Natural Resources Co. (NYSE: PXD), Comstock Resources Inc. (NYSE: CRK), and MasterCard Inc. (NYSE: MA). The earnings of phosphates producer Innophos Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: IPHS) are expected to have risen 92.3% to $3.37 per share. Innophos beat estimates in the previous quarter by a whopping 210%, and analysts have been impressed with Innophos's lack of debt and pricing gains despite the slowing economy, so, on average, they recommend buying IPHS.
Also early in the week, analysts expect Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co. (NYSE: GT), Kaiser Aluminum Corp. (NASDAQ: KALU), and Oshkosh Corp. (NYSE: OSK) to report that their profits fell 52.9% to $0.33 per share, 45.1% to $0.67 per share, and 41.2% to $0.67 per share, respectively. These companies have tended to beat estimates in recent quarters, and the consensus recommendations of analysts are to buy them. However, PMI Group Inc. (NYSE: PMI), one of the largest private mortgage insurance providers in the U.S., is expected to take another hit as the housing slump drags on. The California-based company is expected to have widened its net loss from $1.04 per share a year ago to $2.43 per share in the most recent quarter. Its shares are down 84.5% from a year ago, and have been trading recently near their 52-week low.
Continue reading The week in preview: Expectations remain high for energy and oil
Posted Oct 29th 2008 11:05AM by Steven Halpern
Filed under: Schlumberger Limited (SLB), EOG Resources (EOG)
"In recoveries from panic selloffs in the past, the energy patch has tended to outperform the S&P 500," notes energy sector specialist Elliott Gue.
In his The Energy Strategist, the advisor offers his outlook for the sector as well as a package of five favorite energy-related stocks, including ideas in the drilling, infrastructure. oil services and exploration areas.
"This has undoubtedly been the most challenging and unsettled market in recent history for the stock, bond, currency and credit markets. Not surprisingly, the energy sector hasn't been immune to the selling pressure.
"However, I would note that the selloff in most energy stocks I cover has little or nothing to do with fundamentals and everything to do with market sentiment and a pervasive sense of panic.
"Institutions are dumping stocks to raise cash and the primary fear infecting the energy markets is that a dramatic global economic slowdown coupled with a seizing up of credit markets will destroy demand for energy commodities..
Continue reading Best stocks for a rebound in energy
Posted Oct 13th 2008 1:00PM by Steven Halpern
Filed under: Newsletters, Merck and Co (MRK), EOG Resources (EOG), Commodities, Oil, Stocks to Buy, Northrop Grumman (NOC)
This post is part of a series in which TheStockAdvisors.com asked financial experts to name their top stock pick if McCain or if Obama wins the election.
"We see a rough few years ahead for the markets and the economy in the United States; however, if you were determined to invest in the U.S. and McCain wins the election, we would look at defense, pharmaceuticals and oil," says Martin Hutchinson in The Money Map Reporter.
"If you were bound and determined to invest in domestic stocks, a McCain presidency would be good for defense stocks, as defense spending would be higher, so you might look at Northrop Grumman Corp. (NYSE: NOC).
"It would also be good for the large patented pharmaceutical stocks, as they would not be subjected to price controls as the Democrats currently propose.
"Among pharmaceutical stocks Merck & Co. Inc. (NYSE: MRK), with a forward Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of about 10 and a 5% dividend yield, looks like a good value.
"A McCain presidency would also be very good for domestic oil companies, which would expand their offshore operations, their work with such unconventional oil sources as shale, and possibly even drill in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge.
"EOG Resources Inc. (NYSE: EOG), for example, is rapidly expanding production in the huge Bakken oil fields of the upper Midwest."
Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers a daily look at the latest market commentary and favorite stock picks and investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.
Posted Oct 3rd 2008 9:30AM by Steven Halpern
Filed under: Microsoft (MSFT), Apple Inc (AAPL), Time Warner (TWX), India, China, Brazil, Newsletters, Mutual funds, Comcast Cl'A' (CMCSA), Merck and Co (MRK), Canada, , Barclays plc ADS (BCS), EOG Resources (EOG), Presidential elections, Commodities, Oil, Agriculture, Stocks to Buy, Technology, General Dynamics Corp (GD), Israel, Green Stocks, Northrop Grumman (NOC)
Posted Aug 26th 2008 11:40AM by Eric Buscemi
Filed under: Analyst reports, Analyst upgrades and downgrades, Monster Worldwide (MNST), Analyst initiations, Marvell Technology Group (MRVL), EOG Resources (EOG), salesforce.com inc (CRM)
Analyst upgrades:
- Citigroup upgraded shares of Salesforce.com (NYSE: CRM) to Buy from Hold on valuation following the recent weakness and expects positive seasonality in the second half of 2008.
- Gilat Satellite (NASDAQ: GILT) was upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at William Blair on valuation.
- Cott Corp (NYSE: COT) was raised at UBS to Neutral from Sell.
- EOG Resources (NYSE: EOG) was upgraded to Market Perform from Underperform at Bernstein.
- Integra LifeSciencues (NASDAQ: IART) was raised to Buy from Hold at Argus.
Analyst downgrades:
- Jefferies downgraded shares of Marvell Tech (NASDAQ: MRVL) to Hold from Buy on HDD inventory concerns and share loss at Research in Motion (NASDAQ: RIMM) after checks indicated MRVL likely lost the design for the RIM Javelin to Freescale. The firm lowered their target to $15 from $22.
- Oppenheimer downgraded Integrated Device (NASDAQ: IDTI) to Perform from Outperform as they believe the upcoming Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) server memory transition will pressure shares for several quarters.
- Broadpoint downgraded shares of Healthaways (NASDAQ: HWAY) to Neutral from Buy as they see few near-term catalysts.
Continue reading Analyst calls: CRM, COT, EOG, MRVL, MNST, COMV, V
Posted Mar 4th 2008 11:26AM by Eric Buscemi
Filed under: Analyst upgrades and downgrades, Best Buy (BBY), ConocoPhillips (COP), United Technologies (UTX), EOG Resources (EOG)
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Diebold, EOG Resources and Barnes & Noble were today's noteworthy downgrades:
- Jefferies downgraded shares of Diebold (NYSE: DBD) to Hold from Buy on valuation following United Tech's (NYSE: UTX) offer, as they do not see enough upside over the near-term to maintain a Buy rating.
- Oppenheimer cut EOG Resources (NYSE: EOG) to Underperform from Perform on valuation, as they think the 20% run-up post analyst meeting was unjustified.
- Barnes & Noble (NYSE: BKS) was lowered to Underweight from Neutral at JP Morgan, as they believe Street SSS expectations are too high given slowing sales and secular margin pressure.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
Posted Aug 24th 2007 2:25PM by Michael Panzner
Filed under: Indices, Market matters, Penney (J.C.) (JCP), Money and Finance Today, Bank of New York (BK), Monster Worldwide (MNST), Kohl's Corp (KSS), , Broadcom Corp'A' (BRCM), Technical Analysis, EOG Resources (EOG), S and P 500
After falling sharply from the peak in mid-July through late last week, the S&P 500 index has staged a notable recovery. During the past five days (through approximately 11:30 this morning), the benchmark has gained 1.28%.
Yet despite the recent turnaround, financials continue to lag. The group (which has an equivalent exchange-traded fund, or ETF (NYSE: XLF) ) is down 0.55%, and of the 20 worst-performing index members over the five-day span, 11 are linked to banking or other financial services (see below).
Given the way problems stemming from the subprime meltdown have continued to spread, the fact that financial shares have not even held their own at a time when investors are reportedly "snapping up bargains" is a troubling sign.
| Stock |
5-day % return (through 11:30 am)
|
|
| XTO Energy Inc |
-3.53 |
|
| Analog Devices |
-3.73 |
|
| Bank NY Mellon |
-3.82 |
* |
| Broadcom Corp-A |
-3.98 |
|
| Jabil Circuit |
-4.37 |
|
| Capital One |
-4.47 |
* |
| M&T Bank Corp |
-4.50 |
* |
| Janus Capital |
-4.72 |
* |
| Ambac Finl Group |
-4.74 |
* |
| J.C. Penney Co |
-4.97 |
|
| First Horizon |
-5.24 |
* |
| Wash Mutual Inc |
-5.29 |
* |
| Natl City Corp |
-5.63 |
* |
| Eog Resources |
-5.83 |
|
| Northern Trust |
-5.92 |
* |
| Moody's Corp |
-7.04 |
* |
| MBIA Inc |
-7.97 |
* |
| Kohl's Corp |
-8.14 |
|
| Monster Worldwide |
-8.19 |
|
(* = banking or financial services-related)
Michael Panzner is a 25-year veteran of the global stock, bond, and currency markets and the author of Financial Armageddon: Protecting Your Future from Four Impending Catastrophes and The New Laws of the Stock Market Jungle.
Posted Aug 18th 2007 1:40PM by Victoria Erhart
Filed under: Earnings reports, Good news, Press releases, EOG Resources (EOG)
EOG Resources Inc. (NYSE: EOG) is one of the country's largest oil and natural gas companies in the U.S., headquartered in, you guessed it, Texas. The company's most recent earnings report, for 2Q 2007, is a challenging read. Some numbers are up, some are down. Overall, the numbers are headed in the right direction so that CEO Mark Papa has raised FY guidance for total growth, all of it organic and none by acquisition, from 10% to 11.5%. This is great news considering how challenging 2007 has been for EOG Resources compared to 2006.
1Q 2007 net income dropped by 50% to $216.8 million from 1Q 2006, despite the fact that 1Q 2007 natural gas production increased by 21%. 2Q 2007 net income improved to $306.1 million from 1Q 2007 net income, but was still less than 2Q 2006 net income of $329.6 million. EOG Resources lost a lot of ground with its financial commodity contracts in 2Q 2007. These contracts amounted to $18.6 million for the quarter, compared to $47.3 million in the previous quarter, which was itself hit with a $40 million drop in prices for natural gas. EOG is divesting itself of some of its assets, including its shallow gas holdings in Appalachia, in order to focus on shale gas opportunities that have the potential for greater production, and hence greater return on investment.
Despite price decreases, EOG Resources continues to increase natural gas production quarter over quarter. Total North American natural gas production for the first half of 2007 is up 7% from the same period a year ago. EOG has had significant capital expenditures for a new natural gas processing facility in east Texas, a facility necessitated by increases in natural gas production to compensate for price declines. EOG Resources continues to invest in technology that increases initial natural gas production rates and increases the efficiency of the recovery process so that more natural gas can be produced without the expense of digging additional wells.
The stock has been up and down since opening the year at $60.66. In mid June the stock was trading up 30% at just over $80 per share. Since then the stock has lost ground, closing Friday at $71.58, but is still up about 15% for the year.
Posted Jun 22nd 2007 2:30PM by Steven Halpern
Filed under: Newsletters, ETF Investing, EOG Resources (EOG)
Last December, over 100 stocks were featured in our Top Picks for 2007 report. Now, at mid-year, we turn to the 20 advisors whose picks showed the strongest gains to get an update on their previous picks, as well as a new favorite stock for the second half of the year.
Chris Mayer, editor of Capital & Crisis, chose Rosetta Resources (NASDAQ: ROSE) as his favorite stock for 2007, which rose 32% as of 6/1/07. Here is his original recommendation for Rosetta and his current opinion on the stock.
For his new top pick, National Fuel Gas Co. (NYSE: NFG), he says, "I love companies with 'hidden assets,' things that have been lying around gathering dust but suddenly turn into something very valuable. It's like finding an old Mickey Mantle baseball card in Dad's attic.
"One stock that is a hidden asset in the Appalachians is National Fuel Gas. Like an old baseball card, it's been around a long time. NFG incorporated in 1902, though its predecessor companies are much older. It is an integrated gas utility. This means it is involved in every aspect of natural gas, from the bottom of the well to the burner tip.
"NFG has its own exploration and development company, with oil and gas reserves across many states (45% of production is oil). It has a regulated utility serving 727,000 customers in New York and Pennsylvania.
"It owns nearly 3,000 miles of pipeline, along with 32 storage fields. NFG also owns over 100,000 acres of black cherry hardwood in Pennsylvania. Finally, NFG has a small energy broker business with some 25,000 customers.
Continue reading Top 20 advisors: Chris Mayer fills up with National Fuel
Posted Oct 18th 2006 4:24PM by Steven Halpern
Filed under: Industry, EOG Resources (EOG)
Although oil continues to take a pounding, trading below $58 a barrel, natural gas has bounced strongly over the past week, up 6% today alone. A number of leading newsletter advisors have been adding natural gas-related stocks to their buy lists in anticipation of a rebound.
The key signal for Adrian Day, editor of The Global Analyst, occurred last week when he saw select natural gas stocks hold up even while gas prices continued to slide. Seeing this divergence, he told his subscribers, "It's now time to buy."
His top pick in the sector is EOG Resources (NYSE: EOG), one of the largest independent gas exploration and production firm in North America. He considers the stock cheap at 10 times earnings and 6 times cash flow.
Continue reading Natural Gas: Ready for a Rebound